A New Decade Beckons

mickysf replied on 31/12/2019 08:27

Posted on 31/12/2019 08:27

So we are about to enter the 20's. Over the last few years we have witnessed many influences, effects and pressure, both directly and indirectly on our pastime and club. So what will this decade bring and what changes do folk think we will witness by the end of 2029?

On and a happy New Year and new Decade to all.

DavidKlyne replied on 31/12/2019 12:03

Posted on 31/12/2019 12:03

I was trying to find a direct comparison in terms of cost for the last ten years. It so happens that in 2009 we went to the CMC site in Cambridge and also in 2019 at the same time. During that time the cost has increased by 81% if my trusty Casio is to be believed. So working on the basis that during that time general inflation has been historically low, except perhaps for the NMW. So on that basis in ten years time a site costing £25 a night now will cost £45 and a site costing  £35 a night now will cost £63 a night by the end of the 2029!!! During the same period with the ever increasing pressure to have electric vehicles the price of petrol and diesel will no doubt increase at a faster rate than inflation so perhaps by the end of the period the price of fuel could be hitting £2 a litre if not more! I do think this will have a profound effect on our hobby. The demographics of society in the last ten years has changed substantially with younger couples getting on the housing ladder latter in life which might slow the demand for LV's. I suspect the Club will react by providing more on site ready accommodation and greater provision for tent campers. Even if more electric vehicles become capable of towing caravans I suspect the cost of those vehicles will be a dampener on uptake unless some inspired future Government decides to subsidise the purchase of such vehicles. Apparently in Norway they don't charge VAT on electric cars.

David

Takethedogalong replied on 31/12/2019 12:33

Posted on 31/12/2019 12:33

That’s a very interesting comparison DK. I would venture to add that the Club’s Aims and Objectives have probably altered over the last ten years, which has possibly also impacted upon prices and availability.

replied on 31/12/2019 15:01

Posted on 31/12/2019 15:01

The user and all related content has been Deleted User

JVB66 replied on 31/12/2019 15:59

Posted on 31/12/2019 15:59

2030 I may still be around,  but am sure that driving will be in,the past, as long as that bus passes are still being issued but then then our train pass wil l also hopefully still be issued,so even more chauffeured holidayssurprised,

Although can keep up to date with the club  with our free magazine if it is still available by postsurprised

Ps I note from the latest ccc mag that they are increasing their holiday homes for sale and to let as they are also increasing pods etc on sites ,surprised

JVB66 replied on 31/12/2019 16:14

Posted on 31/12/2019 12:03 by DavidKlyne

I was trying to find a direct comparison in terms of cost for the last ten years. It so happens that in 2009 we went to the CMC site in Cambridge and also in 2019 at the same time. During that time the cost has increased by 81% if my trusty Casio is to be believed. So working on the basis that during that time general inflation has been historically low, except perhaps for the NMW. So on that basis in ten years time a site costing £25 a night now will cost £45 and a site costing  £35 a night now will cost £63 a night by the end of the 2029!!! During the same period with the ever increasing pressure to have electric vehicles the price of petrol and diesel will no doubt increase at a faster rate than inflation so perhaps by the end of the period the price of fuel could be hitting £2 a litre if not more! I do think this will have a profound effect on our hobby. The demographics of society in the last ten years has changed substantially with younger couples getting on the housing ladder latter in life which might slow the demand for LV's. I suspect the Club will react by providing more on site ready accommodation and greater provision for tent campers. Even if more electric vehicles become capable of towing caravans I suspect the cost of those vehicles will be a dampener on uptake unless some inspired future Government decides to subsidise the purchase of such vehicles. Apparently in Norway they don't charge VAT on electric cars.

David

Posted on 31/12/2019 16:14

Just off thread I was speaking to a scientist from Cambridge Uni last week when walking Rosa and he was saying that each  EV will take over thirty years of ownership before the owner can say that they are helping the planet ,as the cost to the planet when they are built far exceeds the costs of diesels 23yrs and petrol 27yearssurprised 

DavidKlyne replied on 31/12/2019 17:27

Posted on 31/12/2019 16:14 by JVB66

Just off thread I was speaking to a scientist from Cambridge Uni last week when walking Rosa and he was saying that each  EV will take over thirty years of ownership before the owner can say that they are helping the planet ,as the cost to the planet when they are built far exceeds the costs of diesels 23yrs and petrol 27yearssurprised 

Posted on 31/12/2019 17:27

I wonder if the Club archive have any records to indicate the change in costs from a horse towing a caravan to when cars became capable of doing the job? I suppose it's a similar change from fossil fueled vehicles to electric ones. Your scientist might be right, I am in no position to argue but I suspect that is the immediate effect of running such a vehicle on our planet that seems to matter rather than the longer term consequences! 

David

chasncath replied on 31/12/2019 17:55

Posted on 31/12/2019 17:55

Just to end the year on a pedantic note, the next decade doesn't start until 1st Jan 2021innocent 1 to 10 = 10 years = decade!

Happy New yearsmile

mickysf replied on 31/12/2019 18:16

Posted on 31/12/2019 17:55 by chasncath

Just to end the year on a pedantic note, the next decade doesn't start until 1st Jan 2021innocent 1 to 10 = 10 years = decade!

Happy New yearsmile

Posted on 31/12/2019 18:16

By that reckoning then we all celebrated the new century and millennium a year too early, is that right? 

chasncath replied on 31/12/2019 18:26

Posted on 31/12/2019 18:16 by mickysf

By that reckoning then we all celebrated the new century and millennium a year too early, is that right? 

Posted on 31/12/2019 18:26

Indeed we did! But they'd built the Dome and booked HM for the party before some smart**** pointed out the mistake, so it had to go ahead!!

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